In Cambodia, factory workers protested over unpaid wages while parents in Phnom Penh called for a reduction in tuition due to financial hardship resulting from the pandemic. In Indonesia, multiple protests called for greater government assistance. Watch this space for monitoring and follow the latest from the COVID-19 Disorder Tracker on Twitter using #CDT.ĭemonstrations related to the coronavirus in Southeast Asia concentrated largely on the financial impact of the pandemic. This page will be regularly updated with CDT Forecasts, Bulletins, Spotlight reports highlighting specific countries and trends, and more. The pandemic is still in its early stages and we expect trends to continue to evolve, especially in light of the exponential growth that can occur in numbers infected. At the same time, non-state actors may see the crisis as an opportunity to make ‘big moves’ and ramp up activity Overall armed conflict rates may remain stable, yet the composition of conflict will change: militaries may decrease their activity as states divert resources to combat the pandemic.Mob violence too will rise, with vigilantes targeting marginalized groups, such as those suspected of being infected and Asian communities, amid an increase in general xenophobia.State repression will rise, especially in authoritarian states, under the guise of strict adherence to health security standards.While demonstration activity may initially spike in response to state management of the pandemic, it will soon decline as a function of concern over the spread of the virus, new medical guidelines, and/or government travel and assembly restrictions.The CDT aims to track and evaluate the trends: The COVID-19 Disorder Tracker (CDT) will provide special coverage of the pandemic’s impact on disorder around the world. Through the duration of the crisis, ACLED’s global network of remote researchers will continue to track these trends in real-time, publishing data on political violence and protest on a weekly basis to support ongoing research, policymaking, and humanitarian efforts. Such a quickly evolving situation requires regular and reliable monitoring. How will COVID-19 impact trends in global disorder? How will it change the trajectory of conflict and demonstration patterns around the world? Even as the United Nations has called for an immediate global ceasefire to deal with “the true fight of our lives” ( AP, 23 March 2020 ), some non-state armed groups like the Islamic State see the crisis as an opportunity to go on the offensive ( DW, 23 March 2020 ). ![]() From China to Italy and the United States, many countries are taking unprecedented steps to curb the outbreak, with wide-ranging and uncertain repercussions for stability and security around the world. The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus and COVID-19 has caused a global pandemic.
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